Thứ sáu, Tháng hai 13, 2026
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How large is Venezuela’s oil potential?

[Reading level: C1 – Advanced]

Venezuela has the world’s largest proven oil reserves and once supplied 7% of global output, but today it contributes less than 1%.

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+)—of which Venezuela is a founding member—responded by deciding to keep oil output unchanged at its meeting on January 4. This move had been widely anticipated amid weak demand and rising global production. Since April 2025, the group has increased output by an additional 2.9 million barrels per day, equivalent to 2.7% of global supply. However, the pace of increases has slowed since October due to forecasts of potential oversupply. Analysts say OPEC+’s move aims to protect oil prices, maintain unity within the group, and buy time to assess geopolitical uncertainties in member countries.

 

Crude oil reserves

The latest OPEC data show that as of 2024, Venezuela’s oil reserves stood at 303 billion barrels, accounting for 17% of the global total. This figure is even larger than that of Saudi Arabia—the country that leads OPEC—which has 267 billion barrels.

 

Most of these reserves consist of heavy crude, concentrated in the Orinoco Belt in central Venezuela. This type of oil is costly to extract but not technically difficult, according to the U.S. Department of Energy. It is similar to the kind of crude the United States currently imports at high prices.

 

the Orinoco Belt – vành đai Orinoco

Countries with the largest reserves worldwide are mostly OPEC members, such as Iran, Iraq, the UAE, and Kuwait. U.S. reserves are only about 45 billion barrels, while Russia’s stand at 80 billion barrels.

 

Extraction and refining

Venezuela was one of the five founding members of OPEC in 1960, along with Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia. Together, they helped Arab countries control oil resources, shaping the global energy market and geopolitical order for decades.

 

In the 1970s, Venezuela produced up to 3.5 million barrels of oil per day, equivalent to 7% of global output. Fifteen years ago, it was still Latin America’s largest oil producer and even competed with the United States for influence in the region. Oil once shaped the country’s culture, generating large revenues to fund public works and enabling Venezuela to offer generous scholarship programs.

 

Venezuelan crude has unique physical and chemical properties, very different from the light crude found in the Middle East or the United States. Oil reserves in the Orinoco Belt are ultra-heavy crude with an API gravity below 10. API gravity measures how dense crude oil is—the lower the number, the heavier the oil. Light crudes usually have API gravities above 30.

 

This type of oil is often as thick as asphalt, with very high viscosity, and cannot flow through pipelines without treatment. It must be diluted with lighter crude or solvents, or pre-processed into synthetic crude before being transported from wells to ports or refineries.

 

Venezuelan oil entails higher costs for extraction, transport, and processing than Middle Eastern light crude, but it also has high sulfur content, making it suitable for producing diesel, asphalt, and fuel for power plants and heavy equipment. This makes it strategically important to the global refining industry. Extraction requires specialized equipment and high technical expertise. However, international oil majors with such capabilities are restricted from operating there.

 

Reserves of the world’s 10 largest oil-holding countries – Trữ lượng của 10 nước có lượng dầu mỏ lớn nhất thế giới.

Venezuela nationalized its oil industry in the 1970s, creating the state oil company PDVSA. In the 1990s, it opened the sector to foreign investment. However, in 1999, regulations again required PDVSA to hold majority stakes in all oil projects. Two U.S. oil giants—Exxon and Conoco—left Venezuela in the 2000s, and their assets were nationalized.

 

PDVSA lacks the capital and technology to boost production. It has had to form numerous joint ventures with foreign oil companies in hopes of improving output, including Chevron, CNPC, ENI, Total, and Rosneft.

 

Even so, production has continued to decline due to U.S. sanctions imposed since 2005 and chronic underinvestment in the sector. Difficulties in electricity supply have further hampered oil operations. In the 2010s, Venezuela’s oil output fell below 2 million barrels per day. Last year, it dropped to just 1.1 million barrels per day—about 1% of global output and roughly equal to production in the U.S. state of North Dakota.

 

PDVSA also owns large refining assets abroad, including CITGO in the United States. However, creditors are fighting for control of these assets through prolonged lawsuits in U.S. courts.

 

Crude oil exports

Fifteen years ago, Venezuela earned about USD 90 billion annually from oil exports. The United States was once its largest buyer, peaking at 1.4 million barrels per day in 1997—equivalent to 44% of Venezuela’s output at the time—according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). By 2018, this figure had fallen to 506,000 barrels per day as supplies of heavy crude from the United States, Mexico, and Canada surged.

 

Venezuela’s crude oil exports in 2024–2025, in thousands of barrels per day – Xuất khẩu dầu thô của Venezuela giai đoạn 2024-2025, đơn vị nghìn thùng/ngày

Venezuelan oil exports to the United States fell to nearly zero during 2020–2022 after former President Trump imposed sanctions on PDVSA. Exports later recovered to 227,000 barrels per day last year, and averaged 140,000 barrels per day in the first ten months of 2025, as Washington allowed Chevron to continue operating joint ventures in Venezuela.

 

Since U.S. sanctions were imposed, China has gradually become the main buyer of Venezuelan oil. Data from analytics firm Kpler show that last year, China purchased about half of Venezuela’s oil exports—nearly 400,000 barrels per day.

 

Based on information from sources close to the matter, Reuters estimates that two-thirds of Venezuela’s oil shipped to China goes to private refineries there, while the remaining one-third is used by Caracas to repay large loans from Beijing.

 

According to preliminary estimates based on shipping activity, in November 2025 Venezuela produced 1.1 million barrels of oil per day and exported 950,000 barrels. However, U.S. measures aimed at curbing transactions by the country caused exports to fall by nearly half, to about 500,000 barrels per day.

 

Analysts believe that oil production and exports in Venezuela are unlikely to surge in the coming years, even if major U.S. companies invest billions of dollars as suggested by Trump. Any company seeking to return to Venezuela would still face a host of challenges, including security risks and deteriorated infrastructure.

 

Source: https://vnexpress.net/tiem-luc-dau-mo-cua-venezuela-lon-den-dau-5001867.html

WORD BANK:

proven /ˈpruː.vən/ (adj): đã được chứng minh

oil reserves /ɔɪl rɪˈzɝːvz/ (n): trữ lượng dầu mỏ

founding member /ˈfaʊn.dɪŋ ˈmem.bɚ/ (n): thành viên sáng lập

move /muːv/ (n): động thái

anticipate /ænˈtɪs.ə.peɪt/ [B2] (v): dự đoán, lường trước

barrel /ˈbær.əl/ (n): thùng (đơn vị đo dầu mỏ)

equivalent to /ɪˈkwɪv.ə.lənt tuː/ (adj phr): tương đương với

pace /peɪs/ (n): tốc độ, nhịp độ

unity /ˈjuː.nə.t̬i/ (n): sự đoàn kết

geopolitical /ˌdʒiː.oʊ.pəˈlɪt̬.ɪ.kəl/ (adj): thuộc địa chính trị

uncertainty /ʌnˈsɝː.t̬ən.t̬i/ (n): sự bất ổn, không chắc chắn

crude /kruːd/ (n): dầu thô

heavy crude /ˌhev.i ˈkruːd/ (n): dầu thô nặng

revenue /ˈrev.ə.nuː/ (n): doanh thu

public works /ˈpʌb.lɪk wɝːks/ (n): công trình công cộng

ultra-heavy /ˌʌl.trəˈhev.i/ (adj): siêu nặng

API gravity /ˌeɪ.piːˈaɪ ˈɡræv.ə.t̬i/ (n): chỉ số API (độ nhẹ/nặng của dầu thô)

dense /dens/ (adj): đậm đặc

asphalt /ˈæs.fɑːlt/ (n): nhựa đường

viscosity /vɪˈskɑː.sə.t̬i/ (n): độ nhớt

dilute /daɪˈluːt/ (v): pha loãng

solvent /ˈsɑːl.vənt/ (n): dung môi

synthetic /sɪnˈθet̬.ɪk/ (adj): tổng hợp, nhân tạo

well /wel/ (n): giếng (dầu)

refinery /rɪˈfaɪ.nɚ.i/ (n): nhà máy lọc dầu

entail /ɪnˈteɪl/ [C1] (v): đòi hỏi phải có, kéo theo

sulfur /ˈsʌl.fɚ/ (n): lưu huỳnh

content /ˈkɑːn.tent/ (n): hàm lượng

strategically /strəˈtiː.dʒɪ.kli/ (adv): mang tính chiến lược

technical expertise /ˈtek.nɪ.kəl ˌek.spɝːˈtiːz/ (n): trình độ chuyên môn kỹ thuật

restrict /rɪˈstrɪkt/ [B2] (v): hạn chế

hold a stake /hoʊld ə steɪk/ (v phr): nắm giữ cổ phần

asset /ˈæs.et/ (n): tài sản

nationalize /ˈnæʃ.ə.nə.laɪz/ (v): quốc hữu hóa

joint venture /ˌdʒɔɪnt ˈven.tʃɚ/ (n): liên doanh

sanction /ˈsæŋk.ʃən/ (n): lệnh trừng phạt

impose sth on sb/sth /ɪmˈpoʊz/ (v): áp đặt cái gì lên ai/cái gì

chronic underinvestment /ˈkrɑː.nɪk ˌʌn.dɚ.ɪnˈvest.mənt/ (n): tình trạng thiếu đầu tư kéo dài

hamper /ˈhæm.pɚ/ (v): cản trở

roughly /ˈrʌf.li/ (adv): xấp xỉ, khoảng chừng

creditor /ˈkred.ə.t̬ɚ/ (n): chủ nợ

prolonged /prəˈlɔːŋd/ (adj): kéo dài

lawsuit /ˈlɔː.suːt/ (n): vụ kiện

peak at /piːk æt/ (v): đạt đỉnh ở mức

surge /sɝːdʒ/ (n): sự tăng vọt

average /ˈæv.ɚ.ɪdʒ/ (v): đạt mức trung bình

aim at doing sth /eɪm æt/ (v): nhằm mục đích làm gì

curb /kɝːb/ (v): kiềm chế, hạn chế

deteriorated /dɪˈtɪr.i.ə.reɪ.t̬ɪd/ (adj): xuống cấp, suy thoái


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